Super LigMatchday 9
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%O2.528%39%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Alanyaspor5:0KocaelisporW
- Kocaelispor2:0AlanyasporL
Alanyaspor's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.1 : 0.8total 1.8Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.3
Alanyaspor : KocaelisporMost likely scores
Model0-017%1-016%1-114%0-111%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence0-011%1-014%1-113%0-19%2-09%2-19%
ModelAttack/defence0-00-017%0-011%1-01-016%1-014%1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-19%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-1—2-19%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 89%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%75% | 75% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 72%61% | 61% |
| 12 – no draw | 65%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%54% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56%66% | 66% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 44%34% | 34% |
| 1 – Alanyaspor win | 41%46% · Elo 48% | 46%· Elo 48% |
| X – draw | 35%29% · Elo 27% | 29%· Elo 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Kocaelispor win | 24%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Alanyaspor attack vs Kocaelispor defenceattack1456defence1538−82 pts to the attack
Kocaelispor attack vs Alanyaspor defenceattack1389defence1540−151 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.554%61%
8.541%50%
9.529%37%
10.519%27%
Each team on its own
Alanyasporwe expect 4.1, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Kocaelisporwe expect 3.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 25.9 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.563%58%
24.557%52%
25.550%48%
26.544%41%
Each team on its own
Alanyasporwe expect 13.3, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 56%
Kocaelisporwe expect 12.7, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%67%
3.535%44%
4.519%26%
5.59%15%
Each team on its own
Alanyasporwe expect 1.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Kocaelisporwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Kocaelispor: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Alanyaspor: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Kocaelispor: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Alanyaspor win 41%, draw 35%, Kocaelispor win 24%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Expected goals: 1.8 (Alanyaspor 1.1, Kocaelispor 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 28%. Most likely score: 0-0.
When is Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The Super Lig match kicks off 23 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).