Atlanta Utd vs Inter Miami: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 21hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%64%O2.573%63%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Inter Miami2:2Atlanta UtdD
- Inter Miami4:0Atlanta UtdL
- Atlanta Utd1:2Inter MiamiL
- Inter Miami2:3Atlanta UtdW
- Atlanta Utd2:1Inter MiamiW
Atlanta Utd's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.1under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 2.3total 3.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.8total 3.3
Atlanta Utd : Inter MiamiMost likely scores
Market1-18%1-29%2-16%2-27%1-37%0-1—0-2—Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-17%2-27%1-3—0-17%0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-16%2-17%2-22-27%2-27%1-31-37%1-3—0-10-1—0-17%0-20-2—0-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75%70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71%64% | 64% |
| 2 – Inter Miami win | 53%47% · Elo 56% | 47%· Elo 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52%41% | 41% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48%59% | 59% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 47%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 29%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Atlanta Utd win | 25%30% · Elo 20% | 30%· Elo 20% |
| X – draw | 22%23% · Elo 24% | 23%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Atlanta Utd attack vs Inter Miami defenceattack1400defence1493−93 pts to the attack
Inter Miami attack vs Atlanta Utd defenceattack1682defence1490+192 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.547%55%
9.535%44%
10.524%33%
11.516%25%
Each team on its own
Atlanta Utdwe expect 4.2, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 26%
Inter Miamiwe expect 3.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 23.1 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.566%53%
21.559%46%
22.552%40%
23.545%35%
Each team on its own
Atlanta Utdwe expect 11.7, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Inter Miamiwe expect 11.6, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%59%
3.551%39%
4.532%20%
5.518%11%
Each team on its own
Atlanta Utdwe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 60%
Inter Miamiwe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Inter Miami score 2.3 goals per game
- Inter Miami: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Inter Miami: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Atlanta Utd played 3 days ago
- Inter Miami played 3 days ago
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atlanta Utd vs Inter Miami?
Inter Miami are the favourites. Chances: Atlanta Utd win 25%, draw 22%, Inter Miami win 53%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta Utd vs Inter Miami?
Expected goals: 3.8 (Atlanta Utd 1.5, Inter Miami 2.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 73%. Most likely score: 1-2.
Will both teams score in Atlanta Utd vs Inter Miami?
The chance that both teams score is 71%.
When is Atlanta Utd vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).