Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%56%O2.565%55%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vancouver Whitecaps1:2Austin FCW
- Austin FC0:0Vancouver WhitecapsD
- Vancouver Whitecaps5:1Austin FCL
- Austin FC0:1Vancouver WhitecapsL
- Vancouver Whitecaps0:0Austin FCD
Austin FC's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.2total 3.4Attack/defence1.1 : 1.8total 2.9
Austin FC : Vancouver WhitecapsMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-17%0-28%1-37%2-1—0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-110%0-29%1-3—2-16%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-210%1-210%0-10-17%0-110%0-20-28%0-29%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-16%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%78% | 78% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 81%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%56% | 56% |
| 2 – Vancouver Whitecaps win | 60%52% · Elo 49% | 52%· Elo 49% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%33% | 33% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 40%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%45% | 45% |
| X – draw | 21%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| 1 – Austin FC win | 19%24% · Elo 25% | 24%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Austin FC attack vs Vancouver Whitecaps defenceattack1384defence1617−233 pts to the attack
Vancouver Whitecaps attack vs Austin FC defenceattack1630defence1455+175 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.557%55%
9.545%44%
10.533%33%
11.523%25%
Each team on its own
Austin FCwe expect 4.5, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 30%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 4.7, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 20.1 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.545%53%
21.538%46%
22.531%40%
23.525%35%
Each team on its own
Austin FCwe expect 9.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 10.5, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.556%59%
3.534%39%
4.518%20%
5.58%11%
Each team on its own
Austin FCwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vancouver Whitecaps: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Vancouver Whitecaps: only 14 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 21 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Austin FC concede a lot late on: 15 of 37 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Austin FC score a lot late on: 11 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Austin FC played 3 days ago
- Vancouver Whitecaps played 3 days ago
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Vancouver Whitecaps are the favourites. Chances: Austin FC win 19%, draw 21%, Vancouver Whitecaps win 60%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Austin FC 1.2, Vancouver Whitecaps 2.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-2.
Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The chance that both teams score is 62%.
When is Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).