St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 21h 38mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%62%O2.564%59%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vancouver Whitecaps1:3St. Louis CityW
- Vancouver Whitecaps3:2St. Louis CityL
- St. Louis City0:0Vancouver WhitecapsD
- St. Louis City1:4Vancouver WhitecapsL
- Vancouver Whitecaps4:3St. Louis CityL
St. Louis City's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.6total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
St. Louis City : Vancouver WhitecapsMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%0-1—2-27%1-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-18%1-29%0-17%2-26%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-29%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-27%2-26%1-01-06%1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%63% | 63% |
| 1 – St. Louis City win | 42%35% · Elo 37% | 35%· Elo 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%37% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%41% | 41% |
| 2 – Vancouver Whitecaps win | 34%40% · Elo 35% | 40%· Elo 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
St. Louis City attack vs Vancouver Whitecaps defenceattack1541defence1617−76 pts to the attack
Vancouver Whitecaps attack vs St. Louis City defenceattack1630defence1515+115 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.556%55%
9.544%44%
10.532%33%
11.522%25%
Each team on its own
St. Louis Citywe expect 5.3, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 3.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 22.2 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.560%53%
21.553%46%
22.545%40%
23.539%35%
Each team on its own
St. Louis Citywe expect 11.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 10.9, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.552%59%
3.530%39%
4.515%20%
5.56%11%
Each team on its own
St. Louis Citywe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Vancouver Whitecapswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- St. Louis City18 matches unbeatenat home: 103rd longest in the league since 2004Went on 82%League 72%Model 67%
- St. Louis City8 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsat home: 5Went on 58%League 64%Model 64%Record 14
Worth knowing before kick-off
- St. Louis City score 3.0 goals per game
- St. Louis City: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Vancouver Whitecaps: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- St. Louis City: 4 wins in a row
- St. Louis City: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- St. Louis City: 3 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Vancouver Whitecaps: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:38 | 50 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: St. Louis City win 42%, draw 25%, Vancouver Whitecaps win 34%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Expected goals: 3.3 (St. Louis City 1.7, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).