FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%O2.566%62%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- San Jose Earthquakes2:3FC DallasW
- San Jose Earthquakes2:2FC DallasD
- FC Dallas2:4San Jose EarthquakesL
- San Jose Earthquakes3:2FC DallasL
- FC Dallas2:1San Jose EarthquakesW
FC Dallas's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.0 : 1.4total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.3total 3.2
FC Dallas : San Jose EarthquakesMost likely scores
Model1-110%2-19%1-0—2-07%1-27%2-27%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-07%2-07%1-27%2-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-07%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%61% | 61% |
| 1 – FC Dallas win | 50%50% · Elo 51% | 50%· Elo 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%38% | 38% |
| 2 – San Jose Earthquakes win | 27%27% · Elo 24% | 27%· Elo 24% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 26% | 23%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
FC Dallas attack vs San Jose Earthquakes defenceattack1521defence1473+48 pts to the attack
San Jose Earthquakes attack vs FC Dallas defenceattack1517defence1497+20 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%44%
10.537%33%
11.527%25%
Each team on its own
FC Dallaswe expect 5.6, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 48%
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 4.3, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 21.8 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.557%53%
21.550%46%
22.543%40%
23.536%35%
Each team on its own
FC Dallaswe expect 11.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 10.7, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%59%
3.538%39%
4.521%20%
5.510%11%
Each team on its own
FC Dallaswe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 57%
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Dallas concede 2.0 goals per game
- FC Dallas: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Dallas: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- FC Dallas: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- San Jose Earthquakes: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
FC Dallas are the favourites. Chances: FC Dallas win 50%, draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes win 27%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Expected goals: 3.4 (FC Dallas 2.0, San Jose Earthquakes 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The MLS match kicks off 25 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).