Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 11d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.561%58%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Los Angeles Galaxy0:3Los Angeles FCW
- Los Angeles FC3:3Los Angeles GalaxyD
- Los Angeles Galaxy2:2Los Angeles FCD
- Los Angeles Galaxy4:2Los Angeles FCL
- Los Angeles Galaxy1:2Los Angeles FCW
Los Angeles FC's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.1 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence2.0 : 1.0total 3.0
Los Angeles FC : Los Angeles GalaxyMost likely scores
Model1-110%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-010%1-09%3-17%3-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%1-01-09%1-09%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%78% | 78% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%58% | 58% |
| 1 – Los Angeles FC win | 60%60% · Elo 57% | 60%· Elo 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 22%22% · Elo 24% | 22%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – Los Angeles Galaxy win | 18%18% · Elo 19% | 18%· Elo 19% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Los Angeles FC attack vs Los Angeles Galaxy defenceattack1518defence1426+92 pts to the attack
Los Angeles Galaxy attack vs Los Angeles FC defenceattack1495defence1619−124 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%44%
10.537%33%
11.527%25%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles FCwe expect 5.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 4.4, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 78%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 22%
We expect 17.9 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.528%53%
21.522%46%
22.517%40%
23.513%35%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles FCwe expect 9.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 8.5, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 25%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%59%
3.538%39%
4.521%20%
5.510%11%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Los Angeles Galaxy concede 2.1 goals per game
- Los Angeles FC matches average 12.1 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Los Angeles FC: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Los Angeles FC: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Los Angeles Galaxy: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:50 | 36 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Los Angeles FC are the favourites. Chances: Los Angeles FC win 60%, draw 22%, Los Angeles Galaxy win 18%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Los Angeles FC 2.1, Los Angeles Galaxy 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The MLS match kicks off 26 October 2026, 01:00 (UK time).