Portland Timbers vs Charlotte: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 0hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%O2.561%58%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4
H2Hlast meeting
- Charlotte2:0Portland TimbersL
Portland Timbers's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Portland Timbers : CharlotteMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-0—2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-07%2-2—0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Portland Timbers win | 40%44% · Elo 35% | 44%· Elo 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%35% | 35% |
| 2 – Charlotte win | 36%32% · Elo 37% | 32%· Elo 37% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Portland Timbers attack vs Charlotte defenceattack1500defence1522−22 pts to the attack
Charlotte attack vs Portland Timbers defenceattack1498defence1466+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%44%
10.537%33%
11.527%25%
Each team on its own
Portland Timberswe expect 5.7, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
Charlottewe expect 4.2, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 20.2 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.546%53%
21.539%46%
22.532%40%
23.526%35%
Each team on its own
Portland Timberswe expect 9.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Charlottewe expect 11.1, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.554%59%
3.532%39%
4.517%20%
5.57%11%
Each team on its own
Portland Timberswe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Charlottewe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Portland Timbers concede 2.1 goals per game
- Portland Timbers: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Charlotte matches average 13.3 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Charlotte: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Portland Timbers: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Charlotte: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portland TimbersWestern Conference | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 5 | CharlotteEastern Conference | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Portland Timbers win 40%, draw 25%, Charlotte win 36%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Portland Timbers 1.6, Charlotte 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
The MLS match kicks off 25 October 2026, 02:30 (UK time).