Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%58%O2.571%59%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Charlotte2:1Philadelphia UnionL
- Charlotte2:0Philadelphia UnionL
- Philadelphia Union2:1CharlotteW
- Philadelphia Union0:2CharlotteL
- Charlotte0:0Philadelphia UnionD
Philadelphia Union's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.0under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.3total 3.7Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.1
Philadelphia Union : CharlotteMost likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%2-07%1-0—3-17%3-06%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-16%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%1-01-0—1-09%3-13-17%3-16%3-03-06%3-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%58% | 58% |
| 1 – Philadelphia Union win | 62%57% · Elo 51% | 57%· Elo 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%37% | 37% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%42% | 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 19%22% · Elo 26% | 22%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Charlotte win | 18%21% · Elo 24% | 21%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Philadelphia Union attack vs Charlotte defenceattack1598defence1522+76 pts to the attack
Charlotte attack vs Philadelphia Union defenceattack1498defence1579−81 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 9.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.564%55%
9.551%44%
10.540%33%
11.529%25%
Each team on its own
Philadelphia Unionwe expect 6.7, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 63%
Charlottewe expect 3.7, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 21.5 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.555%53%
21.548%46%
22.541%40%
23.534%35%
Each team on its own
Philadelphia Unionwe expect 11.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Charlottewe expect 10.2, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.556%59%
3.534%39%
4.518%20%
5.58%11%
Each team on its own
Philadelphia Unionwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Charlottewe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Philadelphia Union score 3.1 goals per game
- Philadelphia Union: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Charlotte matches average 13.3 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Philadelphia Union: 7 wins in a row
- Philadelphia Union: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Charlotte: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Philadelphia Union: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Charlotte: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Philadelphia Union are the favourites. Chances: Philadelphia Union win 62%, draw 19%, Charlotte win 18%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Philadelphia Union 2.4, Charlotte 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 71%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
The MLS match kicks off 17 October 2026, 19:30 (UK time).