Louisville City vs Detroit City FC: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%O2.541%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Louisville City0:0Detroit City FCD
- Detroit City FC2:1Louisville CityL
- Louisville City0:1Detroit City FCL
- Detroit City FC0:1Louisville CityW
- Louisville City2:0Detroit City FCW
Louisville City's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Louisville City : Detroit City FCMost likely scores
Model1-013%1-113%0-010%2-09%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-010%2-010%0-19%2-19%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-013%1-014%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-010%0-010%2-02-09%2-010%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Louisville City win | 46%48% · Elo 48% | 48%· Elo 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%40% | 40% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 26% | 28%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Detroit City FC win | 26%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Louisville City attack vs Detroit City FC defenceattack1643defence1656−13 pts to the attack
Detroit City FC attack vs Louisville City defenceattack1434defence1553−119 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 67%close to the league averageunderover 33%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.546%51%
8.533%34%
9.522%28%
10.514%24%
Each team on its own
Louisville Citywe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Detroit City FCwe expect 2.9, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.545%63%
22.538%52%
23.532%46%
24.526%41%
Each team on its own
Louisville Citywe expect 11.2, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Detroit City FCwe expect 9.7, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 28%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.581%70%
2.560%55%
3.538%39%
4.521%17%
Each team on its own
Louisville Citywe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Detroit City FCwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Louisville City matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Detroit City FC: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Detroit City FC concede only 0.3 goals per game
- Louisville City played 3 days ago
- Detroit City FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Detroit City FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Louisville City vs Detroit City FC?
Louisville City are the favourites. Chances: Louisville City win 46%, draw 28%, Detroit City FC win 26%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Detroit City FC?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Louisville City 1.4, Detroit City FC 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is Louisville City vs Detroit City FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 25 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- The clubs' other match this season: Detroit City FC 2-1 Louisville City ()
- The clubs' other match this season: Louisville City 0-0 Detroit City FC ()
- Louisville City: Elo rating
- Detroit City FC: Elo rating