Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 23hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%O2.545%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Oakland Roots SC1:3Sacramento RepublicW
- Sacramento Republic3:3Oakland Roots SCD
- Oakland Roots SC0:1Sacramento RepublicW
- Oakland Roots SC2:5Sacramento RepublicW
- Sacramento Republic2:3Oakland Roots SCL
Sacramento Republic's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.2under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 0.8total 2.5Attack/defence1.6 : 0.8total 2.5
Sacramento Republic : Oakland Roots SCMost likely scores
Model1-014%1-112%2-012%2-19%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-112%2-011%2-19%0-09%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-014%1-014%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-012%2-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-09%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%82% | 82% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%71% | 71% |
| 1 – Sacramento Republic win | 57%56% · Elo 60% | 56%· Elo 60% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 22% | 25%· Elo 22% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%24% | 24% |
| 2 – Oakland Roots SC win | 19%19% · Elo 18% | 19%· Elo 18% |
Attack vs defence
Sacramento Republic attack vs Oakland Roots SC defenceattack1515defence1440+75 pts to the attack
Oakland Roots SC attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1466defence1634−168 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 68%close to the league averageunderover 32%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.545%51%
8.532%34%
9.522%28%
10.514%24%
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Oakland Roots SCwe expect 2.7, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 28%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 21.7 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.549%63%
22.542%52%
23.536%46%
24.530%41%
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 10.2, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 33%
Oakland Roots SCwe expect 11.4, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.575%70%
2.551%55%
3.529%39%
4.514%17%
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Oakland Roots SCwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Oakland Roots SC: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Oakland Roots SC matches average 11.5 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Sacramento Republic: unbeaten in 11 matches
- Sacramento Republic: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Oakland Roots SC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots SC | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC?
Sacramento Republic are the favourites. Chances: Sacramento Republic win 57%, draw 25%, Oakland Roots SC win 19%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Sacramento Republic 1.6, Oakland Roots SC 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots SC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 25 October 2026, 02:00 (UK time).