San Antonio vs New Mexico United: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%51%O2.555%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- New Mexico United1:2San AntonioW
- San Antonio1:0New Mexico UnitedW
- New Mexico United2:0San AntonioL
- San Antonio0:1New Mexico UnitedL
- New Mexico United4:2San AntonioL
San Antonio's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.2under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
San Antonio : New Mexico UnitedMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%0-1—0-0—2-08%1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-19%0-08%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%0-00-0—0-08%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-27%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%46% | 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%57% | 57% |
| 1 – San Antonio win | 49%43% · Elo 35% | 43%· Elo 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%25% | 25% |
| 2 – New Mexico United win | 26%30% · Elo 37% | 30%· Elo 37% |
| X – draw | 25%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
San Antonio attack vs New Mexico United defenceattack1432defence1441−9 pts to the attack
New Mexico United attack vs San Antonio defenceattack1541defence1545−4 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.552%51%
8.539%34%
9.527%28%
10.518%24%
Each team on its own
San Antoniowe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 3.3, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 23.5 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.562%63%
22.555%52%
23.548%46%
24.541%41%
Each team on its own
San Antoniowe expect 11.9, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 11.8, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 82%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 18%over
We expect 4.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.593%70%
2.582%55%
3.565%39%
4.546%17%
Each team on its own
San Antoniowe expect 2.0, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 2.7, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 72%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- San Antonio4 matches in a row without scoringWent on 33%League 23%Model 18%Record 7
Worth knowing before kick-off
- New Mexico United matches average 5.8 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- New Mexico United: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- San Antonio score only 0.4 goals per game
- San Antonio: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- New Mexico United: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
San Antonio are the favourites. Chances: San Antonio win 49%, draw 25%, New Mexico United win 26%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Expected goals: 2.9 (San Antonio 1.7, New Mexico United 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
The USL Championship match kicks off 18 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- All matches that day
- The clubs' other match this season: San Antonio 1-0 New Mexico United ()
- The clubs' other match this season: New Mexico United 1-2 San Antonio ()
- San Antonio: Elo rating
- New Mexico United: Elo rating