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WTA 125 CaliFinalclaybest of three sets

Andreescu vs Romero Gormaz 0:2: result and our tips

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Bianca AndreescuWTA #100Elo 1867clay 1856
0:2finalrebuilt6:7(4) 3:6
Leyre Romero GormazWTA #111Elo 1730clay 1755

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Bianca Andreescu77%
Leyre Romero Gormaz23%

Elo: B. Andreescu 64% · L. Romero Gormaz 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Andreescu57%
2:1 B. Andreescu22%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz11%
2:0 L. Romero Gormaz11%

First set

Bianca Andreescu71%
Leyre Romero Gormaz29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%77%
17.568%32%68%
18.559%41%59%
19.550%50%52%
20.544%56%45%
21.541%59%41%
22.537%64%37%

Sample: 1,112 matches

Games handicap

B. Andreescu −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Bianca AndreescuLeyre Romero Gormaz
1Aces6
2Double faults7
90%First serves in76%
51%First-serve points won55%
25%Second-serve points won47%
4/11Break points converted6/10
5/11Service games held6/10
49%Service points won53%
47%Return points won51%
74Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. AndreescuTourL. Romero Gormaz
Service points won59%56%55%
Return points won45%44%47%
Service games held71%63%63%
Breaks of serve38%37%46%
Aces per service game0.310.20
Double faults per game0.280.41
Sets with a tie-break8%8%
Tie-breaks won6/92/11
Wins in straight sets73%65%
Matches in the sample4656

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Bianca Andreescu

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Elo over the last year

Bianca AndreescuLeyre Romero Gormaz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. AndreescuL. Romero Gormaz
Hard court14–961%3–538%
Clay13–572%31–1666%
Grass3–260%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Bianca Andreescu

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Upcoming matches

See also