ATP Stockholm250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Borg vs Samuel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 18h 59mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Leo Borg5%
Toby Samuel95%
Elo: L. Borg 5% · T. Samuel 95%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 L. Borg6%
2:1 L. Borg5%
2:1 T. Samuel18%
2:0 T. Samuel71%
First set
Leo Borg17%
Toby Samuel83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%
Total games
Expected total: 21.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 82% | 18% | 90% |
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 53% | 48% | 66% |
| 20.5 | 44% | 56% | 58% |
| 21.5 | 37% | 63% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 31% | 69% | 45% |
Sample: 1,575 matches
Games handicap
T. Samuel −5.546%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes28%
tour average 37%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Borg | Tour | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 0% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/0 | 17/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 3 | 72 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leo Borg
- 27/11/25LJohan Nikles#417Challenger Islamabad · R164:6 6:2 5:7
- 25/11/25WMatthias Ujvary#996Challenger Islamabad · R326:2 6:4
- 11/11/25LStefan Kozlov#271Challenger Champaign · R321:6 0:6
- 05/11/25LMax Wiskandt#382Challenger Knoxville · R326:4 1:6 2:6
- 03/11/25LFrancisco Rocha#923Challenger Knoxville · Q23:6 6:3 3:6
- 02/11/25WSpencer Johnson#430Challenger Knoxville · Q16:3 6:2
- 26/10/25LArda Azkara#693Challenger Charlottesville · Q15:7 3:6
- 15/10/25LDenis Shapovalov#51ATP Stockholm · R162:6 7:5 1:6
- 13/10/25WSebastian Ofner#121ATP Stockholm · R326:3 6:4
- 17/05/25LSebastian Ofner#121ATP Geneva · Q13:6 5:7
Toby Samuel
- 08/11/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Stockholm · Q23:6 7:5 6:1
- 07/11/26WKarl Friberg#813ATP Stockholm · Q17:6 6:2
- 05/11/26LJurij Rodionov#142Challenger Bratislava 2 · R163:6 4:6
- 04/11/26WLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 7:6
- 29/10/26LClement Tabur#156Challenger Brest · R166:7 1:6
- 28/10/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Brest · R326:4 6:3
- 20/10/26LZizou Bergs#40ATP Brussels · R323:6 6:7
- 07/10/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · R326:7 3:6
- 01/10/26LJerome Kym#164Challenger Porto 2 · R162:6 6:4 2:6
- 29/09/26WMackenzie McDonald#242Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:1
Elo over the last year
Leo BorgToby Samuel
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Borg | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–233% | 40–1178% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 7–558% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 5–550% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Leo Borg
First match in this tournament.
Toby Samuel
- 07/11/26WKarl Friberg#813ATP Stockholm · Q17:6 6:2
- 08/11/26WAdrian Mannarino#59ATP Stockholm · Q23:6 7:5 6:1
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