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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Farjat vs Basel 2:0: result and our tips

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Tomas FarjatATP #775Elo 1449clay 1453
2:0final6:4 6:3
Valentin BaselElo 1306clay 1321

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: FarjatWon56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Farjat: 5 matches in a row winning the first set; Farjat won the first set in 6 of the last 8 matches, Basel lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Farjat 2-0Won37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Farjat won 2-0 in 4 of the last 8 matches, Basel lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tomas Farjat57%
Valentin Basel43%

Elo: T. Farjat 68% · V. Basel 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Farjat37%
2:1 T. Farjat21%
2:1 V. Basel18%
2:0 V. Basel24%

First set

Tomas Farjat56%
Valentin Basel44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 57%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.548%52%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,877 matches

Games handicap

T. Farjat −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Tomas FarjatValentin Basel
4Aces1
3Double faults1
61%First serves in53%
88%First-serve points won71%
62%Second-serve points won56%
2/5Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held7/9
78%Service points won64%
36%Return points won22%
63Total points won49

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. FarjatTourV. Basel
Service points won59%62%58%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held73%76%68%
Breaks of serve26%24%25%
Aces per service game0.590.29
Double faults per game0.310.20
Sets with a tie-break18%14%
Tie-breaks won2/44/8
Wins in straight sets100%57%
Matches in the sample924

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tomas Farjat

  • 22/09/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#202Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:3 2:6 6:7
  • 21/09/26WBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:4 6:2
  • 20/09/26WNicolas Garcia LongoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q17:6 6:4
  • 12/05/26LSamuel Alejandro Linde Palacios#862Challenger Cordoba · R326:4 2:6 3:4
  • 11/05/26WValentin GarayChallenger Cordoba · Q26:4 7:5
  • 10/05/26WBruno (2002) OliveiraChallenger Cordoba · Q16:4 7:5
  • 15/02/26LMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Tigre · Q14:6 6:4 5:7
  • 01/02/26LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Rosario · Q17:6 2:6 1:6
  • 11/01/26LEzequiel Monferrer#989Challenger Buenos Aires · Q16:7 4:6
  • 23/06/25LJohan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez#807Challenger Lima · Q23:6 6:7

Valentin Basel

  • 30/08/26LNikita Mashtakov#452Challenger Plovdiv 3 · Q16:7 7:6 1:6
  • 03/08/26LPietro Marino#850Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q24:6 4:6
  • 02/08/26WDinko Dinev#896Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q16:4 6:4
  • 25/06/26LValerio Aboian#258Challenger Piracicaba · R324:6 2:6
  • 22/06/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#655Challenger Piracicaba · Q26:1 6:2
  • 21/06/26WSalvador PriceChallenger Piracicaba · Q17:6 6:1
  • 15/06/26LIgnacio Monzon#578Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q22:6 5:7
  • 14/06/26WThiago Cigarran#595Challenger Asuncion 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:4
  • 10/05/26LBenjamin CheliaChallenger Cordoba · Q16:4 4:6 6:7
  • 03/05/26LWilson Leite#695Challenger Santos · Q13:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Tomas FarjatValentin Basel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. FarjatV. Basel
Hard court0–00–20%
Clay4–544%7–1532%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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