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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Fenty vs Blanch 0:2: result and our tips

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Andrew FentyATP #489Elo 1601hard 1592
0:2final4:6 3:6
Darwin BlanchATP #139Elo 1841hard 1819

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 62%

Fenty: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon68%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 71% → with the players' profiles 68%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Fenty 17 of 20, Blanch 14 of 20 (tour average 68%)

  • Match Winner: BlanchWon79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blanch won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Fenty: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrew Fenty21%
Darwin Blanch79%

Elo: A. Fenty 21% · D. Blanch 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Fenty11%
2:1 A. Fenty9%
2:1 D. Blanch22%
2:0 D. Blanch58%

First set

Andrew Fenty27%
Darwin Blanch73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.580%20%79%
18.571%29%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.540%60%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,172 matches

Games handicap

D. Blanch −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Andrew FentyDarwin Blanch
3Aces10
1Double faults1
61%First serves in65%
73%First-serve points won88%
35%Second-serve points won53%
0/2Break points converted3/7
7/10Service games held9/9
58%Service points won76%
25%Return points won42%
51Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. FentyTourD. Blanch
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held76%76%80%
Breaks of serve25%24%22%
Aces per service game0.420.58
Double faults per game0.300.28
Sets with a tie-break11%18%
Tie-breaks won4/918/32
Wins in straight sets82%60%
Matches in the sample3773

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrew Fenty

Darwin Blanch

Elo over the last year

Andrew FentyDarwin Blanch

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. FentyD. Blanch
Hard court16–1847%27–2057%
Clay1–233%10–759%
Grass0–05–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Andrew Fenty

Darwin Blanch

First match in this tournament.