Fernandez vs Shnaider 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Shnaider: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Fernandez 12 of 20, Shnaider 15 of 20 (tour average 56%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Fernandez: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Shnaider: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Fernandez 39% · D. Shnaider 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 2,486 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 30 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Leylah Fernandez | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 2 |
| 5 | Double faults | 0 |
| 66% | First serves in | 81% |
| 60% | First-serve points won | 61% |
| 43% | Second-serve points won | 56% |
| 4/12 | Break points converted | 6/8 |
| 9/15 | Service games held | 11/15 |
| 54% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 46% |
| 86 | Total points won | 98 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Fernandez | Tour | D. Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.13 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/17 | 11/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 60 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leylah Fernandez
- 31/10/26WKamilla Rakhimova#44WTA Tokyo · SF7:5 6:3
- 29/10/26WElise Mertens#14WTA Tokyo · R166:2 7:6
- 27/10/26WHimeno Sakatsume#129WTA Tokyo · R326:2 6:4
- 25/10/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA Ningbo · F2:6 2:6
- 24/10/26WMarie Bouzková#23WTA Ningbo · SF6:3 7:5
- 23/10/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#32WTA Ningbo · QF4:6 6:2 6:1
- 21/10/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#101WTA Ningbo · R167:5 6:7 6:3
- 19/10/26WElise Mertens#14WTA Ningbo · R322:6 6:3 7:5
- 15/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#25WTA Wuhan · R161:6 6:1 4:6
- 14/10/26WHan Shi#148WTA Wuhan · R326:3 6:4
Diana Shnaider
- 31/10/26WMia Pohankova#119WTA Tokyo · SF6:4 7:6
- 30/10/26WAlexandra Eala#17WTA Tokyo · QF2:6 7:6 6:4
- 28/10/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#101WTA Tokyo · R166:3 5:7 6:3
- 24/10/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA Ningbo · SF3:6 5:7
- 23/10/26WIva Jovic#13WTA Ningbo · QF6:3 4:6 6:1
- 22/10/26WAlexandra Eala#17WTA Ningbo · R167:5 6:4
- 20/10/26WYulia Putintseva#64WTA Ningbo · R327:5 7:6
- 16/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#25WTA Wuhan · QF6:7 1:6
- 15/10/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA Wuhan · R167:5 6:3
- 14/10/26WYulia Putintseva#64WTA Wuhan · R326:2 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Fernandez | D. Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1658% | 27–1466% |
| Clay | 8–753% | 10–567% |
| Grass | 1–420% | 1–325% |
Head to head
L. Fernandez 2–3 D. Shnaider
- 02/04/26Winner: D. Shnaider3:6 0:6
- 13/01/26Winner: D. Shnaider5:7 3:6
- 02/11/24Winner: D. Shnaider4:6 2:6
- 07/10/24Winner: L. Fernandez6:7 6:3 6:3
- 16/08/24Winner: L. Fernandez6:1 6:4
Road through the tournament
Leylah Fernandez
- 27/10/26WHimeno Sakatsume#129WTA Tokyo · R326:2 6:4
- 29/10/26WElise Mertens#14WTA Tokyo · R166:2 7:6
- 31/10/26WKamilla Rakhimova#44WTA Tokyo · SF7:5 6:3
Diana Shnaider
- 28/10/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#101WTA Tokyo · R166:3 5:7 6:3
- 30/10/26WAlexandra Eala#17WTA Tokyo · QF2:6 7:6 6:4
- 31/10/26WMia Pohankova#119WTA Tokyo · SF6:4 7:6