Kachmazov vs Friend 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Kachmazov 9 of 13, Friend 11 of 20 (tour average 49%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 40%
A tie-break in recent matches: Kachmazov 8 of 13, Friend 7 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Kachmazov 38% · J. Friend 63%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,671 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 34 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Alibek Kachmazov | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aces | 8 |
| 4 | Double faults | 5 |
| 67% | First serves in | 67% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 2/8 | Break points converted | 4/11 |
| 12/16 | Service games held | 15/17 |
| 64% | Service points won | 63% |
| 37% | Return points won | 36% |
| 107 | Total points won | 109 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Kachmazov | Tour | J. Friend | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.61 | 0.45 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 38% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/12 | 11/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 13 | 43 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alibek Kachmazov
- 11/10/26WJay Friend#260Challenger Wuning 3 · F4:6 7:6 7:6
- 10/10/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Wuning 3 · SF7:6 6:3
- 09/10/26WFajing Sun#303Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
- 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#479Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
- 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
- 07/09/26LGabriel Ghetu#570Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
- 06/09/26WLouis Wessels#435Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:3 7:6
- 09/08/26LColin Sinclair#485Challenger Astana · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
Jay Friend
- 11/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#525Challenger Wuning 3 · F6:4 6:7 6:7
- 10/10/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:2 6:1
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2
- 08/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:4
- 13/09/26LMax Basing#248Challenger Istanbul 3 · F3:6 6:1 0:6
- 12/09/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF7:6 6:4
- 11/09/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF3:6 6:4 6:3
- 10/09/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#702Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:2 6:1
- 08/09/26WMichele Ribecai#282Challenger Istanbul 3 · R322:6 6:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Kachmazov | J. Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–562% | 27–1663% |
Head to head
A. Kachmazov 1–0 J. Friend
- 11/10/26Winner: Alibek Kachmazov4:6 7:6 7:6