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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Ruzic vs Charaeva 2:0: result and our tips

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Antonia RuzicWTA #81Elo 1706hard 1682
2:0final7:6(5) 6:4
Alina CharaevaWTA #82Elo 1854hard 1834

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ruzic: 13 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Ruzic 17 of 20, Charaeva 15 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ruzic: 4 matches in a row over 25.5 games; Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Ruzic 10 of 20, Charaeva 7 of 20 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Antonia Ruzic52%
Alina Charaeva48%

Elo: A. Ruzic 29% · A. Charaeva 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Ruzic32%
2:1 A. Ruzic19%
2:1 A. Charaeva19%
2:0 A. Charaeva31%

First set

Antonia Ruzic51%
Alina Charaeva49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,369 matches

Games handicap

A. Ruzic −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Antonia RuzicAlina Charaeva
3Aces5
1Double faults8
71%First serves in55%
63%First-serve points won71%
48%Second-serve points won33%
4/9Break points converted3/17
8/11Service games held7/11
59%Service points won54%
46%Return points won41%
92Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. RuzicTourA. Charaeva
Service points won55%56%58%
Return points won43%44%44%
Service games held63%63%69%
Breaks of serve35%37%36%
Aces per service game0.160.31
Double faults per game0.280.42
Sets with a tie-break6%13%
Tie-breaks won1/811/21
Wins in straight sets46%63%
Matches in the sample5968

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Antonia Ruzic

Alina Charaeva

Elo over the last year

Antonia RuzicAlina Charaeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. RuzicA. Charaeva
Hard court20–2149%20–1361%
Clay3–633%17–1161%
Grass5–456%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.