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WTA 125 CourmayeurFinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Noha Akugue vs Charaeva 0:2: result and our tips

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Noma Noha AkugueWTA #118Elo 1679hard 1678
0:2final3:6 4:6
Alina CharaevaWTA #82Elo 1843hard 1820

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noha Akugue: 10 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Noha Akugue: 10 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Match Winner: CharaevaWon66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Charaeva: 4 wins in a row; Charaeva won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
1st Set Winner: Noha AkugueLost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noha Akugue won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Charaeva lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Noha Akugue: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Noma Noha Akugue35%
Alina Charaeva65%

Elo: N. Noha Akugue 31% · A. Charaeva 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Noha Akugue21%
2:1 N. Noha Akugue15%
2:1 A. Charaeva22%
2:0 A. Charaeva42%

First set

Noma Noha Akugue39%
Alina Charaeva61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.567%33%61%
19.559%41%53%
20.552%49%46%
21.546%54%41%
22.541%59%36%
23.537%63%33%

Sample: 2,319 matches

Games handicap

A. Charaeva −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Noma Noha AkugueAlina Charaeva
6Aces1
4Double faults6
53%First serves in66%
73%First-serve points won72%
48%Second-serve points won50%
0/5Break points converted3/7
7/10Service games held9/9
61%Service points won65%
36%Return points won39%
65Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. Noha AkugueTourA. Charaeva
Service points won56%56%58%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held62%63%69%
Breaks of serve40%37%36%
Aces per service game0.200.31
Double faults per game0.320.41
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won7/911/21
Wins in straight sets88%63%
Matches in the sample4467

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Noma Noha Akugue

Alina Charaeva

Elo over the last year

Noma Noha AkugueAlina Charaeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. Noha AkugueA. Charaeva
Hard court11–665%19–1359%
Clay12–1250%17–1161%
Grass1–233%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Noma Noha Akugue

Alina Charaeva

See also