Primera LPFMatchday 13
Dep. Riestra vs Union de Santa Fe: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%47%O2.532%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Union de Santa Fe2:0Dep. RiestraL
- Union de Santa Fe0:0Dep. RiestraD
Dep. Riestra's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners8.4league 8.8under 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 8.4 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.8total 1.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Dep. Riestra : Union de Santa FeMost likely scores
Market0-015%1-015%1-114%0-111%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence0-010%1-013%1-114%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-015%0-010%1-01-015%1-013%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-111%0-110%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 86%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68%60% | 60% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: no | 61%53% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%58% | 58% |
| 1 – Dep. Riestra win | 42%42% · Elo 38% | 42%· Elo 38% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40%33% | 33% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39%47% | 47% |
| X – draw | 32%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32%40% | 40% |
| 2 – Union de Santa Fe win | 26%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Dep. Riestra attack vs Union de Santa Fe defenceattack1414defence1435−21 pts to the attack
Union de Santa Fe attack vs Dep. Riestra defenceattack1570defence1560+10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.571%63%
7.558%52%
8.545%40%
9.533%30%
Each team on its own
Dep. Riestrawe expect 5.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Union de Santa Fewe expect 3.4, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 21.9 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.551%56%
22.544%50%
23.537%45%
24.531%37%
Each team on its own
Dep. Riestrawe expect 10.8, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Union de Santa Fewe expect 11.0, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.559%65%
3.537%41%
4.520%26%
5.59%14%
Each team on its own
Dep. Riestrawe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Union de Santa Fewe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Dep. Riestra: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Union de Santa Fe: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Dep. Riestra score only 0.5 goals per game
- Dep. Riestra matches average only 6.4 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Union de Santa Fe: 4 defeats in a row
- Dep. Riestra: no win in 8 matches
- Dep. Riestra: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Union de Santa Fe: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dep. Riestra vs Union de Santa Fe?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Dep. Riestra win 42%, draw 32%, Union de Santa Fe win 26%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Dep. Riestra vs Union de Santa Fe?
Expected goals: 1.9 (Dep. Riestra 1.1, Union de Santa Fe 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 32%. Most likely score: 0-0.
Will both teams score in Dep. Riestra vs Union de Santa Fe?
The chance that both teams score is 39%.
When is Dep. Riestra vs Union de Santa Fe?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 20 October 2026, 01:15 (UK time).