Primera LPFMatchday 12

Rosario Central 5-0 Ind. Rivadavia: prediction, tips and result

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Rosario Central
1-21-11-01-01-1
5-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Ind. Rivadavia
1-11-04-31-33-1
Stadium:
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario
Referee:
Facundo Tello

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 8.5Won56%

11.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 8.8

Other tips

  • Offsides – Ind. Rivadavia: Over 1.5Won67%

    Ind. Rivadavia: 3.7 offsides a match, league average 1.6; our numbers for Ind. Rivadavia: 2.4 offsides against a league average of 1.6

  • Shots on Target: Over 7.5Won59%

    7.7 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 10.2 in the visitors', league average 7.9; over 7.5 shots on target in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Rosario Central: Under 10.5Won59%

    our numbers for Rosario Central: 9.9 fouls against a league average of 10.9

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Won32%

11.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 8.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRosario Central176147%44%Draw29%30%Ind. Rivadavia170224%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%49%O2.541%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Ind. Rivadavia2:0Rosario CentralL
  2. Ind. Rivadavia1:1Rosario CentralD
Rosario Central's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.8over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 4
RefereeF. Tello−0.3 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)67%U2.52:1coverageleague 74% · H2H 2/2not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Rosario Central : Ind. Rivadavia
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-011%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-010%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-012%0-00-011%0-09%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%76%76%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals68%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals59%55%55%
Both teams to score: no54%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%51%51%
1 – Rosario Central win47%49% · Elo 44%49%· Elo 44%
Both teams to score: yes46%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals41%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals32%30%30%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 30%27%· Elo 30%
2 – Ind. Rivadavia win24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals20%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Rosario Central attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1548defence1485+63 pts to the attack
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1562defence1573−11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 8.4 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.572%63%
7.559%52%
8.546%40%
9.534%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 4.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 3.7, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 22.1 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.552%56%
22.545%50%
23.538%45%
24.532%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 9.9, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 12.3, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Referee: 22.9 fouls per match on average (19 matches in our data)−0.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.571%65%
3.550%41%
4.531%26%
5.517%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 2.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 67%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rosario Central matches average 11.2 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Rosario Central: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Ind. Rivadavia: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Rosario Central

Ind. Rivadavia

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rosario Central1264217:922
8Ind. Rivadavia1253415:1918
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rosario Central vs Ind. Rivadavia?

Rosario Central 5-0 Ind. Rivadavia (half time 1-0).

Did the Rosario Central vs Ind. Rivadavia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 8.5. The tip won.

See also