BundesligaMatchday 9
Ried vs Austria Vienna: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%57%O2.555%53%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ried0:2Austria ViennaL
- Austria Vienna3:2RiedL
- Ried1:3Austria ViennaL
- Austria Vienna3:0RiedL
- Austria Vienna4:1RiedL
Ried's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Ried : Austria ViennaMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-18%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-17%0-18%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Ried win | 39%39% · Elo 32% | 39%· Elo 32% |
| 2 – Austria Vienna win | 35%35% · Elo 39% | 35%· Elo 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Ried attack vs Austria Vienna defenceattack1484defence1520−36 pts to the attack
Austria Vienna attack vs Ried defenceattack1466defence1424+42 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%53%
8.545%36%
9.533%23%
10.523%19%
Each team on its own
Riedwe expect 4.9, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 53%
Austria Viennawe expect 3.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 18.3 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.539%54%
20.532%50%
21.525%43%
22.520%37%
Each team on its own
Riedwe expect 9.0, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 42%
Austria Viennawe expect 8.9, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%60%
3.540%46%
4.522%25%
5.511%17%
Each team on its own
Riedwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Austria Viennawe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ried vs Austria Vienna?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Ried win 39%, draw 26%, Austria Vienna win 35%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Austria Vienna?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Ried 1.5, Austria Vienna 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Ried vs Austria Vienna?
The chance that both teams score is 59%.
When is Ried vs Austria Vienna?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 18:30 (UK time).