BundesligaMatchday 8
Austria Vienna 0-2 Sturm Graz: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Generali Arena, Vienna
- Referee:
- Walter Altmann
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Won68%
referee Walter Altmann averages 3.4 card points a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.7 card points against a league average of 4.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost31%
referee Walter Altmann averages 3.4 card points a match, league average 4.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.556%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sturm Graz1:1Austria ViennaD
- Austria Vienna2:5Sturm GrazL
- Austria Vienna3:1Sturm GrazW
- Sturm Graz0:1Austria ViennaW
- Sturm Graz0:1Austria ViennaW
Austria Vienna's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.6over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.9under 3.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 4
RefereeW. Altmann−1.2 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%O2.51:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 3/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.7total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.8
Austria Vienna : Sturm GrazMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%0-18%1-0—2-17%0-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%1-08%2-18%0-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-18%0-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-17%2-18%0-20-27%0-2—0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%52% | 52% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Sturm Graz win | 45%39% · Elo 40% | 39%· Elo 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%30% | 30% |
| 1 – Austria Vienna win | 28%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Austria Vienna attack vs Sturm Graz defenceattack1476defence1556−80 pts to the attack
Sturm Graz attack vs Austria Vienna defenceattack1594defence1526+68 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%53%
8.543%36%
9.531%23%
10.521%18%
Each team on its own
Austria Viennawe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Sturm Grazwe expect 4.0, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 86%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 15%
We expect 15.7 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.520%53%
20.514%49%
21.511%43%
22.58%37%
Each team on its own
Austria Viennawe expect 7.9, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 28%
Sturm Grazwe expect 9.6, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Referee: 20.1 fouls per match on average (11 matches in our data)−5.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%59%
3.542%45%
4.524%25%
5.512%16%
Each team on its own
Austria Viennawe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Sturm Grazwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sturm Graz matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Austria Vienna: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sturm Graz: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
Austria Vienna 0-2 Sturm Graz (half time 0-1).
Did the Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5. The tip won.