Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 30

Vasco 0-0 Remo: prediction, tips and result

·

Vasco
3-10-12-15-02-1
0-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Remo
1-11-21-20-12-3
Stadium:
Estadio Sao Januario, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5Won60%

under 5.5 card points in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (56% of league matches); 3.2 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 5.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Match Result: VascoLost74%

    Remo: winless in their last 9 league matches; Vasco: 3 league wins in a row

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost62%

    our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

  • Fouls – Remo: Under 11.5Lost66%

    Remo: under 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Vasco's opponents committed under 11.5 in 10 of 10 (43% of league matches); our numbers for Remo: 10.2 fouls against a league average of 12.5

  • Offsides – Remo: Under 1.5Lost67%

    our numbers for Remo: 1.2 offsides against a league average of 1.4; Remo: under 1.5 offsides in 6 of their last 10 league matches, Vasco's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 8 of 10 (56% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Won45%

under 4.5 card points in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (46% of league matches); 3.2 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 5.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVasco170974%58%Draw16%24%Remo160610%18%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%56%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Remo1:1VascoD
Vasco's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.7under 4.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 4
RefereeP. Cesar Zanovelli da Silva+0.8 yellow cards vs average13 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.52:0coverageleague 57% · H2H 0/1not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.8total 3.2Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 3.0
Vasco : Remo
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-18%3-010%2-19%1-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-111%3-06%2-110%1-010%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-010%1-11-18%1-111%3-03-010%3-06%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-09%1-010%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat90%80%80%
12 – no draw84%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals84%80%80%
1 – Vasco win74%58% · Elo 58%58%· Elo 58%
Over 2.5 goals62%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals60%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes50%56%56%
Both teams to score: no50%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals40%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals38%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat26%42%42%
X – draw16%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals16%20%20%
2 – Remo win10%20% · Elo 18%20%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Vasco attack vs Remo defenceattack1527defence1427+100 pts to the attack
Remo attack vs Vasco defenceattack1427defence1464−37 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.557%55%
9.545%43%
10.533%33%
11.524%26%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Vascowe expect 5.8, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 51%
Remowe expect 3.7, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 24.2 in this match, 25.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.552%58%
24.546%51%
25.539%45%
26.533%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Vascowe expect 12.6, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Remowe expect 10.2, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 25%
Referee: 29.2 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)+2.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.578%78%
2.555%55%
3.533%34%
4.517%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Vascowe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Remowe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 33%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Vasco matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Remo: no win in 9 matches
  • Remo: newly promoted
  • Vasco played 3 days ago
  • Remo played 3 days ago

League form

Vasco

Remo

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Vasco29981236:4235
19Remo305101533:4825
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vasco vs Remo?

Vasco 0-0 Remo (half time 0-0).

Did the Vasco vs Remo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5. The tip won.

See also