Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 28
Vasco 5-0 Coritiba: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Sao Januario, Rio de Janeiro
- Referee:
- Braulio da Silva Machado
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%57%O2.552%57%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Coritiba1:1VascoD
- Vasco5:1CoritibaW
- Coritiba1:1VascoD
- Vasco0:1CoritibaL
- Coritiba1:0VascoL
Vasco's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.9under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 3
RefereeB. da Silva Machado−1.5 cards vs average5 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 0.7total 2.7Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Vasco : CoritibaMost likely scores
Market2-013%1-012%1-110%2-110%3-09%3-1—1-2—Attack/defence2-09%1-09%1-111%2-110%3-0—3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-09%1-01-012%1-09%1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-0—3-13-1—3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%79% | 79% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%66% | 66% |
| 1 – Vasco win | 67%55% · Elo 47% | 55%· Elo 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 34%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%34% | 34% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%21% | 21% |
| X – draw | 21%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Coritiba win | 13%22% · Elo 25% | 22%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Vasco attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1503defence1416+87 pts to the attack
Coritiba attack vs Vasco defenceattack1442defence14420 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vasco matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Vasco score only 0.7 goals per game
- Vasco: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasco score a lot late on: 11 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Coritiba: newly promoted
- Vasco: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Coritiba: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Vasco | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | 35 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vasco vs Coritiba?
Vasco 5-0 Coritiba (half time 2-0).