Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 26

Coritiba 1-2 Mirassol: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Estadio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee:
Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento

The match in numbers

1X2EloCoritiba164536%42%Draw29%29%Mirassol171935%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%54%O2.543%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Mirassol0:1CoritibaW
Coritiba's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.8league 4.9over 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 6
RefereeA. Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento+0.6 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.7
Coritiba : Mirassol
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%0-110%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-07%0-18%2-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-010%0-00-010%0-07%0-10-110%0-18%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%73%73%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals57%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes50%54%54%
Both teams to score: no50%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals43%50%50%
1 – Coritiba win36%41% · Elo 42%41%· Elo 42%
2 – Mirassol win35%32% · Elo 30%32%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals30%26%26%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals22%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Coritiba attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1438defence1490−52 pts to the attack
Mirassol attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1499defence1431+68 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Coritiba: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Coritiba: newly promoted
  • Coritiba: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mirassol: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Coritiba301091138:4839
15Mirassol30891334:4433
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Coritiba vs Mirassol?

Coritiba 1-2 Mirassol (half time 0-0).