Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24

Coritiba 2-1 Corinthians: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee:
Anderson Daronco

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost66%

our numbers: 2.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost38%

our numbers: 2.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCoritiba164532%37%Draw32%29%Corinthians166637%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%47%O2.534%40%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Corinthians0:2CoritibaW
  2. Coritiba0:2CorinthiansL
  3. Corinthians3:1CoritibaL
  4. Coritiba2:2CorinthiansD
  5. Corinthians3:1CoritibaL
Coritiba's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 10.0under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.0over 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.lost · ended 4
RefereeA. Daronco−0.1 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.1total 2.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Coritiba : Corinthians
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-014%0-113%1-011%2-1—1-2—0-27%Attack/defence1-114%0-011%0-111%1-012%2-18%1-27%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-014%0-011%0-10-113%0-111%1-01-011%1-012%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-2—1-27%0-20-27%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals84%80%80%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%63%63%
12 – no draw69%71%71%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals66%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%67%67%
Over 1.5 goals62%67%67%
Both teams to score: no57%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes43%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals38%33%33%
2 – Corinthians win37%33% · Elo 34%33%· Elo 34%
Over 2.5 goals34%40%40%
1 – Coritiba win32%37% · Elo 37%37%· Elo 37%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals16%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Coritiba attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1432defence1562−130 pts to the attack
Corinthians attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1466defence1437+29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Coritiba: newly promoted
  • Coritiba: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Corinthians: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Coritiba301091138:4839
16Corinthians30881431:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Coritiba vs Corinthians?

Coritiba 2-1 Corinthians (half time 1-0).

Did the Coritiba vs Corinthians tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.