Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 27

Coritiba 3-3 Athletico-PR: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee:
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost57%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCoritiba164530%40%Draw30%29%Athletico-PR173239%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%55%O2.543%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Athletico-PR2:0CoritibaL
  2. Coritiba2:0Athletico-PRW
  3. Athletico-PR3:2CoritibaL
  4. Athletico-PR1:0CoritibaL
  5. Coritiba0:1Athletico-PRL
Coritiba's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.2under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.9under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 9
RefereeW. do Nascimento Magalhaes−0.4 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.3total 2.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Coritiba : Athletico-PR
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%0-010%1-09%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-18%0-0—1-010%2-19%1-28%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-18%0-00-010%0-0—1-01-09%1-010%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals70%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%58%58%
12 – no draw69%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%69%69%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals57%49%49%
Both teams to score: no51%45%45%
Both teams to score: yes49%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals43%51%51%
2 – Athletico-PR win39%32% · Elo 31%32%· Elo 31%
1 – Coritiba win30%42% · Elo 40%42%· Elo 40%
X – draw30%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals30%25%25%
Over 3.5 goals22%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Coritiba attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1436defence1473−37 pts to the attack
Athletico-PR attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1493defence1424+69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Athletico-PR matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Athletico-PR: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Coritiba: newly promoted
  • Athletico-PR: newly promoted
  • Coritiba: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Athletico-PR: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Athletico-PR30158749:3553
11Coritiba301091138:4839
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Coritiba vs Athletico-PR?

Coritiba 3-3 Athletico-PR (half time 1-2).

Did the Coritiba vs Athletico-PR tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.