Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 26
Cruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte
- Referee:
- Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%50%O2.551%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Athletico-PR2:1CruzeiroL
- Athletico-PR3:0CruzeiroL
- Cruzeiro2:0Athletico-PRW
- Cruzeiro1:1Athletico-PRD
- Athletico-PR3:3CruzeiroD
Cruzeiro's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.9under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 4
RefereeD. Caroline Muniz Dos Santos−1.4 cards vs average2 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Cruzeiro : Athletico-PRMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-012%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-010%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Cruzeiro win | 53%53% · Elo 49% | 53%· Elo 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 47%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Athletico-PR win | 21%22% · Elo 24% | 22%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Cruzeiro attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1507defence1487+20 pts to the attack
Athletico-PR attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1490defence1557−67 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Athletico-PR matches average only 3.5 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Athletico-PR: unbeaten in 10 matches
- Athletico-PR: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Cruzeiro: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Athletico-PR: newly promoted
- Cruzeiro: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Athletico-PR: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 53 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 48 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Athletico-PR?
Cruzeiro 3-1 Athletico-PR (half time 1-1).