Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 29
Liaoning Tieren vs Zhejiang Professional: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%O2.569%66%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.8
H2Hlast meeting
- Zhejiang Professional0:5Liaoning TierenW
Liaoning Tieren's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses5.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.9over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.8total 3.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.8total 3.4
Liaoning Tieren : Zhejiang ProfessionalMost likely scores
Model1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-1—0-2—1-35%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%0-25%1-3—
ModelAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-16%0-20-2—0-25%1-31-35%1-3—
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53%56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Zhejiang Professional win | 41%41% · Elo 40% | 41%· Elo 40% |
| 1 – Liaoning Tieren win | 36%36% · Elo 32% | 36%· Elo 32% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Liaoning Tieren attack vs Zhejiang Professional defenceattack1416defence1424−8 pts to the attack
Zhejiang Professional attack vs Liaoning Tieren defenceattack1593defence1417+176 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%59%
8.548%52%
9.536%42%
10.525%31%
Each team on its own
Liaoning Tierenwe expect 4.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 24.4 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.561%52%
23.554%45%
24.547%39%
25.541%32%
Each team on its own
Liaoning Tierenwe expect 12.4, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 57%
Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 12.1, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%60%
3.545%43%
4.527%27%
5.514%18%
Each team on its own
Liaoning Tierenwe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Zhejiang Professional score 2.4 goals per game
- Zhejiang Professional: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Liaoning Tieren: no win in 7 matches
- Liaoning Tieren: newly promoted
- Liaoning Tieren: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Zhejiang Professional: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Liaoning Tieren
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35:48 | 26 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Liaoning Tieren vs Zhejiang Professional?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Liaoning Tieren win 36%, draw 23%, Zhejiang Professional win 41%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Liaoning Tieren vs Zhejiang Professional?
Expected goals: 3.5 (Liaoning Tieren 1.7, Zhejiang Professional 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 69%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Liaoning Tieren vs Zhejiang Professional?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 08:30 (UK time).