Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 28
Shandong Luneng vs Zhejiang Professional: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS72%69%O2.574%72%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Zhejiang Professional4:1Shandong LunengL
- Zhejiang Professional2:2Shandong LunengD
- Shandong Luneng4:2Zhejiang ProfessionalW
- Zhejiang Professional3:3Shandong LunengD
- Shandong Luneng3:0Zhejiang ProfessionalW
Shandong Luneng's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss4.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.6total 3.9Attack/defence2.2 : 1.5total 3.7
Shandong Luneng : Zhejiang ProfessionalMost likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%2-27%3-17%2-0—1-26%Attack/defence2-19%1-18%2-27%3-17%2-06%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-19%1-11-18%1-18%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-17%3-17%2-02-0—2-06%1-21-26%1-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72%69% | 69% |
| 1 – Shandong Luneng win | 54%54% · Elo 52% | 54%· Elo 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54%51% | 51% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 46%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 46%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 28%31% | 31% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26%28% | 28% |
| 2 – Zhejiang Professional win | 25%25% · Elo 22% | 25%· Elo 22% |
| X – draw | 21%21% · Elo 26% | 21%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%12% | 12% |
Attack vs defence
Shandong Luneng attack vs Zhejiang Professional defenceattack1592defence1424+168 pts to the attack
Zhejiang Professional attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1593defence1510+83 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 10.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.577%59%
8.567%52%
9.555%42%
10.543%31%
Each team on its own
Shandong Lunengwe expect 5.8, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 66%
Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 5.0, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 72%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 21.8 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.543%52%
23.536%45%
24.530%39%
25.524%32%
Each team on its own
Shandong Lunengwe expect 11.3, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 10.3, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.568%60%
3.547%43%
4.528%27%
5.515%18%
Each team on its own
Shandong Lunengwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Zhejiang Professionalwe expect 1.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Shandong Luneng12 matches in a row with BTTS at homeoverall: 3Went on 61%League 64%Model 72%Record 13
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Zhejiang Professional score 2.4 goals per game
- Zhejiang Professional: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Shandong Luneng: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Zhejiang Professional: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Shandong Luneng
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Zhejiang Professional?
Shandong Luneng are the favourites. Chances: Shandong Luneng win 54%, draw 21%, Zhejiang Professional win 25%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Zhejiang Professional?
Expected goals: 3.9 (Shandong Luneng 2.3, Zhejiang Professional 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 74%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Shandong Luneng vs Zhejiang Professional?
The chance that both teams score is 72%.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Zhejiang Professional?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).