Chongqing Tonglianglong 1-1 Shandong Luneng: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloChongqing Tonglianglong121537%25%Draw27%27%Shandong Luneng139136%48%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.553%52%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Shandong Luneng3:1Chongqing TonglianglongL
Chongqing Tonglianglong's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 78% · H2H 0/1covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.8
Chongqing Tonglianglong : Shandong Luneng
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-17%1-28%2-18%1-08%0-2—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%2-17%1-08%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-17%0-19%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-17%1-01-08%1-08%0-20-2—0-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals69%70%70%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals53%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals47%48%48%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
1 – Chongqing Tonglianglong win37%31% · Elo 25%31%· Elo 25%
2 – Shandong Luneng win36%43% · Elo 48%43%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals31%30%30%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals22%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Chongqing Tonglianglong attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1351defence1505−154 pts to the attack
Shandong Luneng attack vs Chongqing Tonglianglong defenceattack1596defence1504+92 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.567%60%
8.554%53%
9.542%42%
10.531%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chongqing Tonglianglongwe expect 5.1, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
Shandong Lunengwe expect 4.0, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 21.6 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.542%52%
23.535%45%
24.529%39%
25.523%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chongqing Tonglianglongwe expect 9.8, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 29%
Shandong Lunengwe expect 11.7, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.562%60%
3.540%43%
4.523%28%
5.511%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Chongqing Tonglianglongwe expect 1.9, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Shandong Lunengwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 39%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chongqing Tonglianglong matches average only 2.3 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong: no win in 10 matches
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong: newly promoted
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong: 35 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shandong Luneng: 36 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shandong Luneng27135947:4438
9Chongqing Tonglianglong27711928:3332
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Luneng?

Chongqing Tonglianglong 1-1 Shandong Luneng (half time 1-0).