Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 29
Qingdao West Coast vs Yunnan Yukun: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 1hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%O2.564%58%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Yunnan Yukun2:3Qingdao West CoastW
- Yunnan Yukun1:0Qingdao West CoastL
- Qingdao West Coast0:0Yunnan YukunD
Qingdao West Coast's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.9under 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Qingdao West Coast : Yunnan YukunMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-28%1-06%2-27%2-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—2-07%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Qingdao West Coast win | 43%43% · Elo 43% | 43%· Elo 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%42% | 42% |
| 2 – Yunnan Yukun win | 33%33% · Elo 29% | 33%· Elo 29% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Qingdao West Coast attack vs Yunnan Yukun defenceattack1396defence1399−3 pts to the attack
Yunnan Yukun attack vs Qingdao West Coast defenceattack1570defence1521+49 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.568%59%
8.556%52%
9.543%42%
10.532%31%
Each team on its own
Qingdao West Coastwe expect 5.0, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Yunnan Yukunwe expect 4.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 60%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 22.7 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.549%52%
23.542%45%
24.536%39%
25.530%32%
Each team on its own
Qingdao West Coastwe expect 10.9, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
Yunnan Yukunwe expect 11.8, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%60%
3.557%43%
4.538%27%
5.522%18%
Each team on its own
Qingdao West Coastwe expect 2.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 76%
Yunnan Yukunwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Yunnan Yukun concede 2.9 goals per game
- Yunnan Yukun matches average only 2.5 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Yunnan Yukun score 2.4 goals per game
- Yunnan Yukun: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Qingdao West Coast matches average only 7.9 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Qingdao West Coast: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Yunnan Yukun: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Qingdao West Coast vs Yunnan Yukun?
Qingdao West Coast are the favourites. Chances: Qingdao West Coast win 43%, draw 24%, Yunnan Yukun win 33%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao West Coast vs Yunnan Yukun?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Qingdao West Coast 1.8, Yunnan Yukun 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Qingdao West Coast vs Yunnan Yukun?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 08:30 (UK time).