Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 29
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 1hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%O2.564%62%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.7
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Shandong Luneng3:3Wuhan Three TownsD
- Wuhan Three Towns1:5Shandong LunengL
- Shandong Luneng3:1Wuhan Three TownsL
- Shandong Luneng0:0Wuhan Three TownsD
- Wuhan Three Towns1:2Shandong LunengL
Wuhan Three Towns's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.9over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.8total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.7total 3.2
Wuhan Three Towns : Shandong LunengMost likely scores
Model1-111%1-29%2-17%2-27%0-1—0-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-17%0-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-17%0-20-26%0-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%57% | 57% |
| 2 – Shandong Luneng win | 45%43% · Elo 47% | 43%· Elo 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%38% | 38% |
| 1 – Wuhan Three Towns win | 31%33% · Elo 26% | 33%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Wuhan Three Towns attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1459defence1510−51 pts to the attack
Shandong Luneng attack vs Wuhan Three Towns defenceattack1592defence1430+162 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 9.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.574%59%
8.562%52%
9.550%42%
10.538%31%
Each team on its own
Wuhan Three Townswe expect 6.2, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 71%
Shandong Lunengwe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 20.9 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.536%52%
23.530%45%
24.524%39%
25.519%32%
Each team on its own
Wuhan Three Townswe expect 9.6, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 27%
Shandong Lunengwe expect 11.0, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%60%
3.542%43%
4.524%27%
5.512%18%
Each team on its own
Wuhan Three Townswe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Shandong Lunengwe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
Wuhan Three Towns
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40:47 | 22 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng?
Shandong Luneng are the favourites. Chances: Wuhan Three Towns win 31%, draw 24%, Shandong Luneng win 45%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Wuhan Three Towns 1.5, Shandong Luneng 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 08:30 (UK time).