1. LigaMatchday 11

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 3d 8h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloMlada Boleslav157548%43%Draw26%28%Teplice157227%29%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%57%O2.554%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mlada Boleslav0:2TepliceL
  2. Mlada Boleslav0:0TepliceD
  3. Teplice2:3Mlada BoleslavW
  4. Mlada Boleslav1:0TepliceW
  5. Mlada Boleslav2:1TepliceW
Mlada Boleslav's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.9over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Mlada Boleslav : Teplice
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-09%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%78%78%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals68%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes57%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals54%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%54%54%
1 – Mlada Boleslav win48%46% · Elo 43%46%· Elo 43%
Under 2.5 goals46%46%46%
Both teams to score: no43%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals32%32%32%
2 – Teplice win27%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Mlada Boleslav attack vs Teplice defenceattack1521defence1477+44 pts to the attack
Teplice attack vs Mlada Boleslav defenceattack1470defence1424+46 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 9.3 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.570%61%
8.558%45%
9.545%31%
10.534%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 5.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 63%
Teplicewe expect 4.4, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 63%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 22.6 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.549%56%
23.542%50%
24.535%44%
25.529%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 10.4, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Teplicewe expect 12.1, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 67%close to the league averageunderover 33%
We expect 2.0 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.560%66%
2.533%37%
3.515%20%
4.56%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 25%
Teplicewe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 27%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mlada Boleslav matches average 12.8 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Teplice: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mlada Boleslav played 3 days ago
  • Teplice: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Teplice1052318:1617
7Mlada Boleslav952217:1217
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Mlada Boleslav are the favourites. Chances: Mlada Boleslav win 48%, draw 26%, Teplice win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Mlada Boleslav 1.7, Teplice 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

The chance that both teams score is 57%.

When is Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

The 1. Liga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).