1. LigaMatchday 12
Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.566%67%|exp. goals 2.6 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Slavia Prague4:0Mlada BoleslavW
- Mlada Boleslav1:3Slavia PragueW
- Slavia Prague1:0Mlada BoleslavW
- Mlada Boleslav0:2Slavia PragueW
- Slavia Prague4:0Mlada BoleslavW
Slavia Prague's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.9over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.6 : 0.8total 3.4Attack/defence2.6 : 0.8total 3.4
Slavia Prague : Mlada BoleslavMost likely scores
Model2-011%3-010%2-19%1-08%3-18%1-1—Attack/defence2-011%3-010%2-19%1-08%3-18%1-17%
ModelAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%3-03-010%3-010%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%3-13-18%3-18%1-11-1—1-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 91%91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%85% | 85% |
| 1 – Slavia Prague win | 75%76% · Elo 72% | 76%· Elo 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%55% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%34% | 34% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 25%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 16%15% · Elo 17% | 15%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%14% | 14% |
| 2 – Mlada Boleslav win | 9%9% · Elo 11% | 9%· Elo 11% |
Attack vs defence
Slavia Prague attack vs Mlada Boleslav defenceattack1732defence1424+308 pts to the attack
Mlada Boleslav attack vs Slavia Prague defenceattack1521defence1697−176 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%61%
8.551%45%
9.539%31%
10.528%19%
Each team on its own
Slavia Praguewe expect 5.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 67%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 3.4, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 23.7 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.556%56%
23.550%50%
24.543%44%
25.536%36%
Each team on its own
Slavia Praguewe expect 11.8, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 12.0, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 2.0 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.559%66%
2.532%37%
3.514%20%
4.55%12%
Each team on its own
Slavia Praguewe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Mlada Boleslavwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 19%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Slavia Prague score 2.6 goals per game
- Mlada Boleslav matches average 12.8 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Slavia Prague concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Slavia Prague: 5 wins in a row
- Slavia Prague: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Mlada Boleslav: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26:6 | 26 |
| 7 | Mlada Boleslav | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?
Slavia Prague are the favourites. Chances: Slavia Prague win 75%, draw 16%, Mlada Boleslav win 9%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Slavia Prague 2.6, Mlada Boleslav 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-0.
When is Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).