SuperligaMatchday 12
Midtjylland vs Lyngby: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.564%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lyngby1:1MidtjyllandD
- Midtjylland1:0LyngbyW
- Lyngby1:2MidtjyllandW
- Midtjylland2:1LyngbyW
- Lyngby4:1MidtjyllandL
Midtjylland's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.3under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.5 : 0.8total 3.3Attack/defence2.3 : 1.0total 3.3
Midtjylland : LyngbyMost likely scores
Model2-012%2-19%3-010%1-18%1-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%2-110%3-07%1-19%1-08%3-17%
ModelAttack/defence2-02-012%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-010%3-07%1-11-18%1-19%1-01-09%1-08%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 90%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%81% | 81% |
| 1 – Midtjylland win | 73%65% · Elo 80% | 65%· Elo 80% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 27%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 17%19% · Elo 13% | 19%· Elo 13% |
| 2 – Lyngby win | 10%15% · Elo 7% | 15%· Elo 7% |
Attack vs defence
Midtjylland attack vs Lyngby defenceattack1600defence1408+192 pts to the attack
Lyngby attack vs Midtjylland defenceattack1423defence1576−153 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.550%53%
9.537%41%
10.527%34%
11.518%24%
Each team on its own
Midtjyllandwe expect 5.1, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
Lyngbywe expect 3.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 27%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 83%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 17%over
We expect 26.5 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.587%57%
20.583%51%
21.578%39%
22.573%33%
Each team on its own
Midtjyllandwe expect 12.0, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 63%
Lyngbywe expect 15.4, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 87%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 69%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 31%over
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.587%80%
2.569%54%
3.548%34%
4.530%18%
Each team on its own
Midtjyllandwe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Lyngbywe expect 1.7, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lyngby concede 2.1 goals per game
- Midtjylland: unbeaten in 10 matches
- Lyngby: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lyngby: newly promoted
- Midtjylland: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lyngby: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:21 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
Midtjylland are the favourites. Chances: Midtjylland win 73%, draw 17%, Lyngby win 10%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Midtjylland 2.5, Lyngby 0.8). Most likely score: 2-0.
When is Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
The Superliga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).