ChampionshipMatchday 10

Birmingham 4-0 Preston: prediction, tips and result

·

Birmingham
2-21-22-12-21-0
4-0Full time(half time 3-0)
Preston
0-12-20-11-22-1

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won56%

over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Fouls – Birmingham: Over 9.5Lost57%

    Birmingham: over 9.5 fouls in 9 of their last 9 league matches, Preston's opponents committed over 9.5 in 5 of 9 (51% of league matches); 12.1 fouls a match, Preston's opponents committed 10.0 on average, league average 9.7

  • Shots on Target – Preston: Under 3.5Won64%

    our numbers for Preston: 3.0 shots on target against a league average of 3.6

  • Offsides – Preston: Under 1.5Lost57%

    Preston: under 1.5 offsides in 6 of their last 9 league matches, Birmingham's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 5 of 9 (49% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBirmingham159966%56%Draw20%24%Preston147414%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%51%O2.556%49%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Birmingham2:1PrestonW
  2. Preston0:1BirminghamW
  3. Birmingham1:0PrestonW
  4. Preston2:1BirminghamL
  5. Birmingham1:2PrestonL
Birmingham's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)73%11:1coverageleague 58% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.6
Birmingham : Preston
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-010%2-011%2-110%3-08%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-110%3-0—0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-010%1-012%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%79%79%
12 – no draw80%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals80%74%74%
1 – Birmingham win66%54% · Elo 56%54%· Elo 56%
Under 3.5 goals66%73%73%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals56%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes51%51%51%
Both teams to score: no49%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals44%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals34%27%27%
X – draw20%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals20%26%26%
2 – Preston win14%21% · Elo 20%21%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Birmingham attack vs Preston defenceattack1505defence1434+71 pts to the attack
Preston attack vs Birmingham defenceattack1432defence1541−109 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.553%56%
8.540%40%
9.528%30%
10.519%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Birminghamwe expect 4.9, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Prestonwe expect 3.0, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 20.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.557%56%
20.550%46%
21.543%36%
22.536%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Birminghamwe expect 10.4, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 57%
Prestonwe expect 10.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.572%66%
3.552%49%
4.533%31%
5.518%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Birminghamwe expect 2.3, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Prestonwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Preston: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Birmingham played 3 days ago
  • Preston played 3 days ago

League form

Birmingham

Preston

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Birmingham1045117:1117
24Preston101188:204
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Birmingham vs Preston?

Birmingham 4-0 Preston (half time 3-0).

Did the Birmingham vs Preston tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also