ChampionshipMatchday 11
Bristol City vs Sheffield United: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.550%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bristol City1:0Sheffield UnitedW
- Sheffield United1:4Bristol CityW
- Sheffield United3:0Bristol CityL
- Bristol City0:3Sheffield UnitedL
- Sheffield United1:1Bristol CityD
Bristol City's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Bristol City : Sheffield UnitedMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-1—2-08%0-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%2-0—0-08%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-08%2-0—0-00-08%0-08%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%68% | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Bristol City win | 45%41% · Elo 37% | 41%· Elo 37% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Sheffield United win | 28%32% · Elo 35% | 32%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Bristol City attack vs Sheffield United defenceattack1477defence1500−23 pts to the attack
Sheffield United attack vs Bristol City defenceattack1528defence1502+26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 7.7 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.550%56%
8.537%40%
9.525%31%
10.516%20%
Each team on its own
Bristol Citywe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Sheffield Unitedwe expect 3.1, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 21.8 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.564%56%
20.557%46%
21.550%37%
22.543%33%
Each team on its own
Bristol Citywe expect 10.9, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 63%
Sheffield Unitedwe expect 11.1, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.570%66%
3.550%50%
4.531%32%
5.517%19%
Each team on its own
Bristol Citywe expect 1.7, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Sheffield Unitedwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sheffield United played 3 days ago
- Bristol City: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bristol City vs Sheffield United?
Bristol City are the favourites. Chances: Bristol City win 45%, draw 27%, Sheffield United win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Sheffield United?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Bristol City 1.5, Sheffield United 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Sheffield United?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Bristol City vs Sheffield United?
The Championship match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).