ChampionshipMatchday 8

Bristol City 1-0 Watford: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Ashton Gate, Bristol
Referee:
Oliver Langford

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost56%

goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (56% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBristol City155654%47%Draw24%27%Watford148522%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%51%O2.555%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bristol City1:2WatfordL
  2. Watford1:1Bristol CityD
  3. Bristol City2:1WatfordW
  4. Watford1:0Bristol CityL
  5. Bristol City1:1WatfordD
Bristol City's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 7
RefereeO. Langford−0.4 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.1total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Bristol City : Watford
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-06%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%73%73%
12 – no draw76%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals67%75%75%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes56%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals55%47%47%
1 – Bristol City win54%46% · Elo 47%46%· Elo 47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals45%53%53%
Both teams to score: no44%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals33%25%25%
X – draw24%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
2 – Watford win22%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals21%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Bristol City attack vs Watford defenceattack1478defence1475+3 pts to the attack
Watford attack vs Bristol City defenceattack1449defence1492−43 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Watford concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Watford score a lot late on: 7 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Bristol City played 3 days ago
  • Watford: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Bristol City1042412:1414
22Watford102268:198
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bristol City vs Watford?

Bristol City 1-0 Watford (half time 1-0).

Did the Bristol City vs Watford tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.