ChampionshipMatchday 7
Southampton 4-1 Bristol City: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
- Referee:
- Sam Allison
Our tips
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon59%
goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (56% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.560%55%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Southampton2:2Bristol CityD
- Bristol City3:1SouthamptonL
- Bristol City3:1SouthamptonL
- Southampton1:0Bristol CityW
- Southampton0:1Bristol CityL
Southampton's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.4over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 2
RefereeS. Allison−0.1 cards vs average27 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Southampton : Bristol CityMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-010%2-09%3-16%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%55% | 55% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 59%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Southampton win | 57%54% · Elo 59% | 54%· Elo 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 23% | 24%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Bristol City win | 20%22% · Elo 18% | 22%· Elo 18% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Southampton attack vs Bristol City defenceattack1617defence1499+118 pts to the attack
Bristol City attack vs Southampton defenceattack1483defence1527−44 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Southampton matches average 12.4 corners (league 10.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Bristol City score a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Southampton: 4 days since the last match, 4 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bristol City: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Southampton vs Bristol City?
Southampton 4-1 Bristol City (half time 1-0).
Did the Southampton vs Bristol City tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.