ChampionshipMatchday 7
Watford 1-2 Stoke: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Vicarage Road, Watford
- Referee:
- Lewis Smith
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won56%
over 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (53% of league matches); 4.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.8 in the visitors', league average 3.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%52%O2.547%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Stoke3:1WatfordL
- Watford1:0StokeW
- Stoke0:0WatfordD
- Watford3:0StokeW
- Watford1:1StokeD
Watford's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.9over 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Smith+0.1 cards vs average33 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Watford : StokeMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-0—0-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-08%2-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%2-02-0—2-08%0-10-18%0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Watford win | 41%45% · Elo 41% | 45%· Elo 41% |
| 2 – Stoke win | 30%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%28% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Watford attack vs Stoke defenceattack1456defence1460−4 pts to the attack
Stoke attack vs Watford defenceattack1447defence1481−34 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Watford concede 2.1 goals per game
- Stoke concede 2.0 goals per game
- Watford score only 0.7 goals per game
- Watford: 4 days since the last match, 4 matches in the last 14 days.
- Stoke: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stoke | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Watford vs Stoke?
Watford 1-2 Stoke (half time 0-1).
Did the Watford vs Stoke tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.