ChampionshipMatchday 10

Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn: prediction, tips and result

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Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target: Under 8.5Won64%

under 8.5 shots on target in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 9 (60% of league matches); 6.6 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 7.2 in the visitors', league average 8.0

Other tips

  • Offsides – Bristol City: Under 1.5Lost59%

    Bristol City: 1.3 offsides a match, Blackburn's opponents were caught offside 1.1 times on average, league average 1.9; our numbers for Bristol City: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBristol City155643%43%Draw29%28%Blackburn154429%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.545%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Blackburn1:2Bristol CityW
  2. Bristol City0:1BlackburnL
  3. Bristol City2:1BlackburnW
  4. Blackburn3:0Bristol CityL
  5. Bristol City5:0BlackburnW
Bristol City's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.4over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 0
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.4
Bristol City : Blackburn
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-09%2-19%0-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-19%0-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-18%0-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals76%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%72%72%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals72%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals55%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes51%49%49%
Both teams to score: no49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals45%44%44%
1 – Bristol City win43%44% · Elo 43%44%· Elo 43%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Blackburn win29%28% · Elo 30%28%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals28%30%30%
Over 3.5 goals24%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Bristol City attack vs Blackburn defenceattack1477defence1510−33 pts to the attack
Blackburn attack vs Bristol City defenceattack1439defence1502−63 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.549%56%
8.536%40%
9.525%30%
10.516%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bristol Citywe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Blackburnwe expect 3.2, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 19.8 in this match, 20.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.550%56%
20.542%46%
21.535%36%
22.529%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bristol Citywe expect 9.1, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 43%
Blackburnwe expect 10.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.562%66%
3.541%49%
4.523%31%
5.511%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bristol Citywe expect 1.4, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Blackburnwe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 51%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Blackburn: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Blackburn matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Bristol City played 3 days ago
  • Blackburn played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Blackburn1043315:1315
11Bristol City1042412:1414
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bristol City vs Blackburn?

Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn (half time 0-1).

Did the Bristol City vs Blackburn tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target: Under 8.5. The tip won.