ChampionshipMatchday 8
Lincoln 1-2 Swansea: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Sincil Bank, Lincoln
- Referee:
- Anthony Backhouse
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost59%
referee Anthony Backhouse averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost41%
referee Anthony Backhouse averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%51%O2.544%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Lincoln1:0SwanseaW
- Swansea1:0LincolnL
- Lincoln2:1SwanseaW
- Swansea2:2LincolnD
Lincoln's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.5over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 3
Cardsleague cards4.2league 3.9over 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 4%.lost · ended 3
RefereeA. Backhouse+0.9 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.3total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Lincoln : SwanseaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-110%0-010%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%0-09%2-19%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-110%0-19%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 77%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%58% | 58% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44%45% | 45% |
| 2 – Swansea win | 39%30% · Elo 38% | 30%· Elo 38% |
| 1 – Lincoln win | 32%42% · Elo 34% | 42%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Lincoln attack vs Swansea defenceattack1490defence1527−37 pts to the attack
Swansea attack vs Lincoln defenceattack1492defence1516−24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Swansea: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lincoln: newly promoted
- Lincoln: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Swansea: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lincoln vs Swansea?
Lincoln 1-2 Swansea (half time 1-0).
Did the Lincoln vs Swansea tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.