ChampionshipMatchday 7
Swansea 3-1 Burnley: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
- Referee:
- James Bell
Our tips
Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won56%
9.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.0 in the visitors', league average 10.4
For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won44%
under 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (43% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.551%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Swansea0:2BurnleyL
- Burnley1:0SwanseaL
- Swansea1:2BurnleyL
- Burnley4:0SwanseaL
- Swansea1:0BurnleyW
Swansea's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 3
RefereeJ. Bell−0.2 cards vs average20 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Swansea : BurnleyMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%73% | 73% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Swansea win | 46%46% · Elo 29% | 46%· Elo 29% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Burnley win | 27%28% · Elo 44% | 28%· Elo 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Swansea attack vs Burnley defenceattack1485defence1465+20 pts to the attack
Burnley attack vs Swansea defenceattack1504defence1528−24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Swansea: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Burnley: newly promoted
- Swansea: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Burnley: 4 days since the last match, 4 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Swansea vs Burnley?
Swansea 3-1 Burnley (half time 2-0).
Did the Swansea vs Burnley tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.