ChampionshipMatchday 6
Wrexham 1-1 Burnley: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
- Referee:
- Tim Robinson
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%55%O2.543%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 5
RefereeT. Robinson+0.1 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Wrexham : BurnleyMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-010%2-19%2-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%0-07%2-19%2-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-012%1-010%0-00-010%0-07%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%76% | 76% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Wrexham win | 45%48% · Elo 26% | 48%· Elo 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%52% | 52% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Burnley win | 26%27% · Elo 47% | 27%· Elo 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Wrexham attack vs Burnley defenceattack1512defence1462+50 pts to the attack
Burnley attack vs Wrexham defenceattack1503defence1513−10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wrexham matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Burnley: newly promoted
- Wrexham played 3 days ago
- Burnley played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Wrexham vs Burnley?
Wrexham 1-1 Burnley (half time 0-1).