ChampionshipMatchday 10

Wolves 1-3 Bolton: prediction, tips and result

·

Wolves
2-42-21-01-00-1
1-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Bolton
1-24-31-02-30-4
Stadium:
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Offsides: Over 3.5Won64%

    3.9 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 6.1 in the visitors', league average 3.7; our numbers: 4.4 offsides against a league average of 3.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won38%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; over 3.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 9 (27% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWolves179070%79%Draw18%13%Bolton146411%8%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%57%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bolton0:4WolvesW
  2. Wolves5:1BoltonW
  3. Wolves2:2BoltonD
  4. Bolton2:1WolvesL
  5. Bolton2:2WolvesD
Wolves's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.52:0coverageleague 55% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.8total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Wolves : Bolton
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-19%1-010%2-110%3-09%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence2-08%1-112%1-09%2-110%3-0—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-08%1-11-19%1-112%1-01-010%1-09%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-0—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
12 – no draw81%75%75%
1 – Wolves win70%49% · Elo 79%49%· Elo 79%
Under 3.5 goals64%68%68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
Both teams to score: no51%43%43%
Both teams to score: yes49%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals36%32%32%
X2 – away team avoid defeat29%52%52%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
X – draw18%25% · Elo 13%25%· Elo 13%
2 – Bolton win11%27% · Elo 8%27%· Elo 8%
Attack vs defence
Wolves attack vs Bolton defenceattack1540defence1469+71 pts to the attack
Bolton attack vs Wolves defenceattack1516defence1510+6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.559%56%
8.546%40%
9.533%30%
10.523%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 4.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Boltonwe expect 3.7, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 20.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.557%56%
20.550%46%
21.543%36%
22.536%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 10.0, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 54%
Boltonwe expect 10.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 4.4 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.581%66%
3.564%49%
4.545%31%
5.529%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 2.8, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 76%
Boltonwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wolves: newly promoted
  • Bolton: newly promoted
  • Wolves played 3 days ago
  • Bolton played 3 days ago

League form

Wolves

Bolton

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Wolves942316:1414
14Bolton1041515:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wolves vs Bolton?

Wolves 1-3 Bolton (half time 0-1).

Did the Wolves vs Bolton tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also