ChampionshipMatchday 8
Norwich 3-4 Bolton: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Carrow Road, Norwich
- Referee:
- Tom Nield
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6; over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (53% of league matches)
Other tips
- Match Result: NorwichLost69%
Norwich: won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won44%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6; over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 7 (27% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.566%53%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bolton0:4NorwichW
- Norwich3:2BoltonW
- Norwich0:0BoltonD
- Bolton2:1NorwichL
- Bolton1:2NorwichW
Norwich's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.won · ended 0
RefereeT. Nield−0.2 cards vs average27 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Norwich : BoltonMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-010%2-110%1-0—3-08%3-18%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%2-08%2-110%1-010%3-0—3-1—0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-0—1-010%3-03-08%3-0—3-13-18%3-1—0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 87%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%75% | 75% |
| 1 – Norwich win | 69%49% · Elo 61% | 49%· Elo 61% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 66%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%69% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%31% | 31% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 32%51% | 51% |
| X – draw | 18%25% · Elo 22% | 25%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – Bolton win | 14%26% · Elo 17% | 26%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Norwich attack vs Bolton defenceattack1553defence1486+67 pts to the attack
Bolton attack vs Norwich defenceattack1488defence1505−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Norwich: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Bolton: newly promoted
- Norwich: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Bolton: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Norwich vs Bolton?
Norwich 3-4 Bolton (half time 2-2).
Did the Norwich vs Bolton tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.