League OneMatchday 13
AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.548%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Wycombe2:0AFC WimbledonL
- AFC Wimbledon2:1WycombeW
- AFC Wimbledon1:1WycombeD
- Wycombe2:2AFC WimbledonD
- AFC Wimbledon0:0WycombeD
AFC Wimbledon's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.2 : 1.4total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.8
AFC Wimbledon : WycombeMost likely scores
Model1-112%0-111%1-29%1-09%2-1—0-28%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%1-08%2-18%0-2—0-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-111%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-09%1-08%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%61% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%52% | 52% |
| 2 – Wycombe win | 44%39% · Elo 44% | 39%· Elo 44% |
| 1 – AFC Wimbledon win | 31%35% · Elo 29% | 35%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%24% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
Attack vs defence
AFC Wimbledon attack vs Wycombe defenceattack1395defence1460−65 pts to the attack
Wycombe attack vs AFC Wimbledon defenceattack1556defence1471+85 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.561%61%
7.547%43%
8.534%30%
9.523%17%
Each team on its own
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 3.9, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Wycombewe expect 3.8, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 20.2 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.568%56%
18.560%53%
19.553%53%
20.545%51%
Each team on its own
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 10.6, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 71%
Wycombewe expect 9.6, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%60%
3.544%43%
4.526%23%
5.513%14%
Each team on its own
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Wycombewe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wycombe concede 2.2 goals per game
- AFC Wimbledon score only 0.7 goals per game
- AFC Wimbledon: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Wycombe: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:20 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?
Wycombe are the favourites. Chances: AFC Wimbledon win 31%, draw 26%, Wycombe win 44%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?
Expected goals: 2.6 (AFC Wimbledon 1.2, Wycombe 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).