League OneMatchday 12

Burton vs Bradford: prediction, tips and stats

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Burton
0-32-21-01-30-1
1.1:1.1Pre-match
Bradford
0-01-11-01-01-0

Our tips

Tip in 6d 11h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloBurton130128%36%Draw28%28%Bradford134844%36%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%O2.537%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Burton2:1BradfordW
  2. Bradford1:2BurtonW
  3. Burton1:1BradfordD
  4. Bradford1:0BurtonL
  5. Bradford2:0BurtonL
Burton's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.1 : 1.1total 2.2
Burton : Bradford
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-0—0-110%0-09%1-29%0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-112%0-012%1-27%0-2—2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-0—1-012%0-10-110%0-112%0-00-09%0-012%1-21-29%1-27%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%65%65%
12 – no draw72%70%70%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%65%65%
2 – Bradford win44%35% · Elo 36%35%· Elo 36%
1 – Burton win28%35% · Elo 36%35%· Elo 36%
X – draw28%30% · Elo 28%30%· Elo 28%
Attack vs defence
Burton attack vs Bradford defenceattack1441defence1622−181 pts to the attack
Bradford attack vs Burton defenceattack1417defence1487−70 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 6.5 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.548%61%
7.534%43%
8.522%30%
9.513%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Burtonwe expect 3.0, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Bradfordwe expect 3.2, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 19.7 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
17.565%56%
18.557%53%
19.550%53%
20.542%51%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Burtonwe expect 9.6, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 61%
Bradfordwe expect 10.2, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 56%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.556%60%
3.534%43%
4.518%23%
5.58%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Burtonwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Bradfordwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bradford: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Bradford concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Bradford matches average 12.7 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Burton concede a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Burton played 3 days ago
  • Bradford played 3 days ago

League form

Burton

Bradford

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Bradford95228:517
10Burton1033414:1612
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Burton vs Bradford?

Bradford are the favourites. Chances: Burton win 28%, draw 28%, Bradford win 44%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Burton vs Bradford?

Expected goals: 2.6 (Burton 1.1, Bradford 1.5). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Burton vs Bradford?

The League One match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).

See also